The Quinnipiac Blues, Vol. 2
Yesterday, it was Rick Santorum's turn in the barrel.
Today, it is Lynn Swann's.
A Quinnipiac University poll released today shows that Gov. Edn Rendell currently holds a 22-point lead over his Republican rival. That's up from a 10-point lead in the last Quinnipiac taken in early April.
More significantly, Rendell's approval numbers have consistently stayed above 50%, even though his head-to-head numbers vs. Swann have fluctuated.
Asked whether they approved or disapproved of Rendell:
It was 51% approve vs. 35% disapprove in a December poll.
It was 55% approve vs. 31% disapprove in the May poll.
Head-to-head it was:
Rendell 48% vs. Swann 35% in December.
Rendell 47% vs. Swann 37% in April.
Rendell 55% vs. Swann 33% in the latest poll, taken in the first week of May.
What does it mean? Very bad news for Swann.
People need a compelling reason to oust an incumbent. The Republican challenger, with his sputtering campaign, hasn't given them one. It looks like his chance to do so may be slipping away.
The Ferrick Commission has pondered this race and has some advice for Swann.