Wednesday, May 17, 2006

Pundit Contest Winner

Actually, we have two winners to my

First Annual Regional Pundits Contest

The challenge was to come closest to the final returns in predicting the winners of the Democratic U.S. Senate primary, in order of finish and their share of the vote. The tiebreaker was predicting the total number of votes cast statewide in this election.

From the thousands...well, hundreds...well, dozens....of entries I am pleased to announce we have two winners.

First, the official results, as posted by the AP at 1 p.m. today. It was

Bob Casey Jr. - 85%
Chuck Pennacchio - 9%
Alan Sandals - 7%
Total votes: 736,700

Most folks were way off. Of course, they all predicted a Casey victory, but vastly overstated either (a) the share of vote Pennacchio and Sandals would get or (b) turnout.

The person who came closest is Terry Gillen of Philadelphia, who (in her spare time) is a Democratic ward leader.

Gillen predicted:

Casey - 78%
Pennacchio - 13%
Sandals - 9%
Total vote: 745,002

Terry, send me your address and I will send you an official Pundits Certificate, plus a $25 gift card to Borders.

I also am awarding a second certificate and gift card to Adam Bonin. He predicted:

Casey - 82%
Pennacchio - 7%
Sandals - 11%
Total vote: 759,000

He gets his awards for guessing a Casey total closer to the actual results, though he gets demerits for picking Sandals to come in second. He also was 2nd closest (behind Gillen)
in predicting the total vote.

Congratulations to the winners.
As to the rest of you, try again next time.
And remember: It's lonely being a pundit.

3 Comments:

Anonymous phillydem said...

LOL! It was fun and ya gotta start somewhere.

3:36 PM  
Anonymous Thomas said...

It's lonely being a pundit.

Now that you have two more to keep you company, you might not feel so lonely.

4:37 PM  
Blogger Dave Ralis said...

There were three winners here, if you count the people of Pennsylvania.

10:42 AM  

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